One of the countless suggestions for “improving” Test match cricket is to give up the toss. Instead, it should be abandoned to visiting captain to bat or bowl. The home side’s opportunity to doctor a pitch in their favor. It would negate the home side the opportunity to inspect the pitch in favor of them.
As with several other evidently simple things, and you need get not so dual opportunity than the tossing of a coin. The complexity of tossing is being hidden in surprising ways.
As a piece of sporting representation, tossing is perfect. No matter how incompatible the two sides might be, the captains of both sides come together at the beginning, with a gesticulation of complete parity. The toss is ceremonial and offers a lot of focus at the start of every game.
Beyond the ceremonial confrontation, there is a deeper value of tossing that varies and shifts with the advancement of the game. But, it exists and deserving to get attention. David Franklin in his wonderful piece of writing in the journal The Nightwatchman commented that the tossing, although called equal, the result is not so.
In support of his analysis of the situation he cited the example of 1397 Test matches of which 53% of them declared winning that won the toss. The number passed with the statistically significant as the toss winning side enjoy the 95% confidence level. This fact and figures suggest that it is not just a natural deviation.
Franklin further wrote that calculating the batting average of the players of the toss winning side was, at 32.81, 1.41 runs, which is higher than the losing team losing at 31.40. Multiplied out over the 20 available wickets, it situated a value of winning the toss at 28 runs, or it might be just less than a wicket, provided the wicket is worth about 31 runs.
The toss has always battled in the circumstance as its value is better in some of the condition of places. Franklin’s proposal for the replacement of the toss is more intricate than simply handing the benefit to the captain of the visiting team.
He proposes a system “sealed bid” where to assess the conditions of each of the captain, then making an offer of a certain number of runs to be dealt for having the option of batting or bowling.
The introduction of the strategic element to the process, the captains would be forced to make a decision about batting first.